{"id":8376,"date":"2017-03-17T06:54:48","date_gmt":"2017-03-17T13:54:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.paladinregistry.com\/?p=8376"},"modified":"2017-03-17T06:54:48","modified_gmt":"2017-03-17T13:54:48","slug":"did-you-miss-the-stock-market-trump-bump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/investing\/did-you-miss-the-stock-market-trump-bump\/","title":{"rendered":"Did You Miss The Stock Market’s \u201cTrump Bump\u201d?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Okay, admit it.\u00a0 Whether you\u2019re an ardent supporter or never-Trumper, weren\u2019t you a little nervous Donald Trump\u2019s victory would cause the markets to crash?\u00a0<\/a><\/span><\/strong> My clients on both sides of the spectrum were anxious. I even have a friend, who\u2019s an avid Trump supporter, call me and ask if it was too risky to get back into the market.<\/p>\n

As we all know, markets hate uncertainty, and on election night, futures dropped like a rock.\u00a0 It was scary, very scary. I happened to be at a mutual fund seminar on election night, and the speaker, who\u2019s a fund manager, didn\u2019t sleep a wink the night before. Even professionals were afraid!\u00a0 But the next morning, something short of amazing happened:\u00a0 The market rebounded and continued to do so through the end of the year.\u00a0 The Dow Jones Industrial Average<\/a><\/span><\/strong> shot up 1,500 points. Since then, however, the excitement has dissipated, and the markets have been flat.<\/p>\n

The question going forward is, \u201cWhat will happen to the markets and the economy now that Donald Trump has been inaugurated as our 45th<\/sup> president?\u201d The answer is no one really knows, keeping in mind a caveat that presidents have a limited impact on the economy. One main reason is our Constitution grants the power of fiscal responsibility to Congress, not the president. The Federal Reserve System, a quasi-government entity, may have more power over the economy than either Congress or the president. The Fed is responsible for many key aspects of the economy such as monetary policy, economic stability and supervising and regulating banks. And then there is the economy itself.\u00a0 The U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is around $18 trillion which covers a multitude of financial sectors and is often driven by consumer confidence; that is, people\u2019s optimism in buying things.\u00a0 (70% of our economy\u2019s activity is consumer spending).\u00a0 As you can see, managing the economy through government entities is disparate and complex, and a successful economy isn\u2019t exclusively dependent on one branch of our government.<\/p>\n

The stock market, a leading economic indicator, reflects and digests all this information and adjusts accordingly. For instance, an up market usually means good times are ahead, and a down market often precedes a recession. It is a separate entity from the political landscape, and the general trend is upwards with, of course, some down and flat periods, too. The chart below tracks the growth of a dollar invested in the S&P 500 from January 1926 through June 2016.<\/p>\n

\"S&P<\/a><\/p>\n

You can see that the general trend has been up no matter who was president at the time.<\/p>\n

Like a baseball manager who often gets the blame or credit for his team\u2019s wins and losses, a president gets the blame or credit for the economy and stock market. But betting your hard-earned savings on how the market will react to Trump occupying the White House is fool\u2019s gold. Back in 2009, many people got out of the stock market because they thought President Obama was going to ruin the economy, and the stock market would never recover.\u00a0 What more do I need to say?<\/p>\n

To learn more about Jeffrey Bogart at Sila Wealth Advisory<\/a><\/span>, view his Paladin Registry research report<\/a><\/span>.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Okay, admit it.\u00a0 Whether you\u2019re an ardent supporter or never-Trumper, weren\u2019t you a little nervous Donald Trump\u2019s victory would cause the markets to crash?\u00a0 My clients on both sides of the spectrum were anxious. I even have a friend, who\u2019s an avid Trump supporter, call me and ask if it was too risky to get back into the market. As we all know, markets hate uncertainty, and on election night,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":89,"featured_media":8382,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[395],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8376","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing"],"yoast_head":"\nDid You Miss The Stock Market's \u201cTrump Bump\u201d?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"What will happen to the stock market and the economy now that Donald Trump has been inaugurated as our 45th president?\u201d The answer is no one really knows,\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/investing\/did-you-miss-the-stock-market-trump-bump\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta 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