{"id":8344,"date":"2017-03-01T08:26:05","date_gmt":"2017-03-01T16:26:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.paladinregistry.com\/?p=8344"},"modified":"2017-03-01T08:26:05","modified_gmt":"2017-03-01T16:26:05","slug":"are-new-stock-market-highs-a-concern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/investing\/are-new-stock-market-highs-a-concern\/","title":{"rendered":"Are New Stock Market Highs a Concern?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With many stock indexes such as the <strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/data\/markets\/dow\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Dow Jones Industrial Average<\/a><\/span><\/strong> and the <strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"http:\/\/money.cnn.com\/data\/markets\/sandp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">S&amp;P 500<\/a><\/span><\/strong> hitting new market highs, some investors may be nervous that the advances cannot continue. In our opinion, bull markets do not die of old age and the fact that a market is hitting a new high does not, in and of itself, provide a negative signal.<\/p>\n<p>The chart below illustrates how market highs are not historically uncommon, and suggests that they can be sustained for long periods of time in the right economic environments.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.paladinregistry.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/stock-market-highs.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-8346 size-full\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.paladinregistry.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/stock-market-highs.png\" alt=\"stock market\" width=\"305\" height=\"235\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/stock-market-highs.png 305w, https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/stock-market-highs-300x231.png 300w, https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/stock-market-highs-180x138.png 180w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 305px) 100vw, 305px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Source: J.P. Morgan Research<\/p>\n<p>The chart illustrates that in many years new highs have been achieved 30-50 times a year and can continue for a full decade. In 1995, the stock market even hit a new high 77 different times. By comparison, since the economic recession in 2008 we have not hit record highs nearly as frequently.<\/p>\n<p>If these market advances were accompanied by extraordinarily high valuations, this might create a concern. In the late 1990\u2019s for example, Treasury Secretary Alan Greenspan coined the term \u201cirrational exuberance,\u201d which was his terminology for describing an overvalued stock market. At that time, in spite of companies reporting very low earnings, the markets advanced for several years. Eventually a market correction occurred from 2000-2002, but the markets advanced for several years prior to doing so.<\/p>\n<p>Today, the market appears to be much different. Valuations are currently at reasonable levels, economic fundamentals continue to improve and recent earnings reports by companies have been relatively strong. Further, given that inflation is very low, the value of these earnings is not being diluted by the rising costs of goods and services. For these reasons amongst others, our expectation is that although short-term volatility may arise, the markets can continue to advance beyond today\u2019s levels for some time.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>To learn more about David Wilder at <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"http:\/\/twpteam.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Total Wealth Planning<\/a><\/span>, view his <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"http:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/financial-advisor\/cincinnati-ohio\/David.Wilder\" target=\"_blank\">Paladin Registry research report<\/a><\/span>.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h5><em>Total Wealth Planning is a fee-only advisor with a proven 25-year track record of success. We offer, with no charge or obligation, an introductory, get-acquainted consultation to determine if and how we might be able to assist others with our services.<\/em><\/h5>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With many stock indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&amp;P 500 hitting new market highs, some investors may be nervous that the advances cannot continue. In our opinion, bull markets do not die of old age and the fact that a market is hitting a new high does not, in and of itself, provide a negative signal. The chart below illustrates how market highs are not<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":8350,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[395],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Are New Stock Market Highs a Concern?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"An illustration shows how stock market highs are not historically uncommon, and suggests that they can be sustained for long periods of time.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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Wilder CFP\u00ae, CTFA, MST, AIF\u00ae, CEPA \u2013 Principal &amp; Chief Investment Officer As Chief Investment Officer, Dave chairs Total Wealth Planning\u2019s Investment Policy Committee and leads and manages the investment management team. He is primarily responsible for investment research, preparing and communicating Total Wealth Planning\u2019s economic and investment outlook. As Principal, Dave is responsible for investment advice, with extensive client contact and client-relationship management. 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Wilder CFP\u00ae, CTFA, MST, AIF\u00ae, CEPA \u2013 Principal &amp; Chief Investment Officer As Chief Investment Officer, Dave chairs Total Wealth Planning\u2019s Investment Policy Committee and leads and manages the investment management team. He is primarily responsible for investment research, preparing and communicating Total Wealth Planning\u2019s economic and investment outlook. As Principal, Dave is responsible for investment advice, with extensive client contact and client-relationship management. He has a Master\u2019s in Tax Law (MST) from Villanova University and is a CFP\u00ae, a Certified Trust and Financial Advisor (CTFA), and a Certified Exit Planning Advisor (CEPA).","sameAs":["http:\/\/www.twpteam.com","https:\/\/x.com\/fmginc"],"url":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/author\/david-wilder\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8344"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/84"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8344"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8344\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8352,"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8344\/revisions\/8352"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8350"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8344"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8344"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.paladinregistry.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8344"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}